Climate and Time in Their Geological Relations A Theory of Secular Changes of the Earth's Climate

CHAPTER VIII.

Chapter 428,079 wordsPublic domain

EXAMINATION OF THE GRAVITATION THEORY OF OCEANIC CIRCULATION.—DR. CARPENTER’S THEORY.

Gulf-stream according to Dr. Carpenter not due to Difference of Specific Gravity.—Facts to be Explained.—The Explanation of the Facts.—The Explanation hypothetical.—The Cause assigned for the hypothetical Mode of Circulation.—Under currents account for all the Facts better than the Gravitation Hypothesis.—Known Condition of the Ocean inconsistent with that Hypothesis.

Dr. Carpenter does not suppose, with Lieut. Maury, that the difference of temperature between the ocean in equatorial and polar regions can account for the Gulf-stream and other great currents of the ocean. He maintains, however, that this difference is quite sufficient to bring about a slow general interchange of water between the polar and inter-tropical areas—to induce a general movement of the upper portion of the ocean from the equator to the poles and a counter-movement of the under portion in a contrary direction. It is this general movement which, according to that author, is the great agent by which heat is distributed over the globe.[59]

In attempting to estimate the adequacy of this hypothesis as an explanation of the phenomena involved, there are obviously two questions to be considered: namely, (1) is the difference of temperature between the sea in inter-tropical and polar regions sufficiently great to produce the required movement? and (2) assuming that there is such a movement, does it convey the amount of heat which Dr. Carpenter supposes? I shall begin with the consideration of the first of these two points.

But before doing so let us see what the facts are which this gravitation theory is intended to explain.

_The Facts to be Explained._—Dr. Carpenter considers that the great mass of warm water proved during recent dredging expeditions to occupy the depths of the North Atlantic, must be referred, not to the Gulf-stream, but to a general movement of water from the equator. “The inference seems inevitable,” he says, “that the bulk of the water in the warm area must have come thither from the south-west. The influence of the Gulf-stream proper (meaning by this the body of super-heated water which issues through the ‘Narrows’ from the Gulf of Mexico), if it reaches this locality at all (which is very doubtful), could only affect the _most superficial_ stratum; and the same may be said of the surface-drift caused by the prevalence of south-westerly winds, to which some have attributed the phenomena usually accounted for by the extension of the Gulf-stream to these regions. And the presence of the body of water which lies between 100 and 600 fathoms deep, and the range of whose temperature is from 48° to 42°, can scarcely be accounted for on any other hypothesis than that of a _great general movement of equatorial water towards the polar area_, of which movement the Gulf-stream constitutes a peculiar case modified by local conditions. In like manner the Arctic stream which underlies the warm superficial stratum in our cold area constitutes a peculiar case, modified by the local conditions to be presently explained, of _a great general movement of polar water towards the equatorial area_, which depresses the temperature of the deepest parts of the great oceanic basins nearly to the freezing-point.”

It is well-known that, wherever temperature-observations have been made in the Atlantic, the bottom of that ocean has been found to be occupied by water of an ice-cold temperature. And this holds true not merely of the Atlantic, but also of the ocean in inter-tropical regions—a fact which has been proved by repeated observations, and more particularly of late by those of Commander Chimmo in the China Sea and Indian Ocean, where a temperature as low as 32° Fahr. was found at a depth of 2,656 fathoms. In short, the North Atlantic, and probably the inter-tropical seas also, may be regarded, Dr. Carpenter considers, as divided horizontally into two great layers or strata—an upper warm, and a lower cold stratum. All these facts I, of course, freely admit; nor am I aware that their truth has been called in question by any one, no matter what his views may have been as to the mode in which they are to be explained.

_The Explanation of the Facts._—We have next the explanation of the facts, which is simply this:—The cold water occupying the bottom of the Atlantic and of inter-tropical seas is to be accounted for by the supposition that _it came from the polar regions_. This is obvious, because the cold possessed by the water could not have been derived from the crust of the earth beneath: neither could it have come from the surface; for the temperature of the bottom water is far below the normal temperature of the latitude in which it is found. Consequently “the inference seems irresistible that this depression must be produced and maintained by the convection of cold from the polar towards the equatorial area.” Of course, if we suppose a flow of water from the poles towards the equator, we must necessarily infer a counter flow from the equator towards the poles; and while the water flowing from equatorial to polar regions will be _warm_, that flowing from polar to equatorial regions will be _cold_. The doctrine of a mutual interchange of equatorial and polar water is therefore a _necessary consequence_ from the admission of the foregoing facts. With this _explanation of the facts_ I need hardly say that I fully agree; nor am I aware that its correctness has ever been disputed. Dr. Carpenter surely cannot charge me with overlooking the fact of a mutual interchange of equatorial and polar water, seeing that my estimate of the thermal power of the Gulf-stream, from which it is proved that the amount of heat conveyed from equatorial to temperate and polar regions is enormously greater than had ever been anticipated, was made a considerable time before he began to write on the subject of oceanic circulation.[60] And in my paper “On Ocean-currents in relation to the Distribution of Heat over the Globe”[61] (the substance of which is reproduced in Chapters II. and III. of this volume), I have endeavoured to show that, were it not for the raising of the temperature of polar and high temperate regions and the lowering of the temperature of inter-tropical regions by means of this interchange of water, these portions of the globe would not be habitable by the present existing orders of beings.

The explanation goes further:—“It is along the surface and upper portion of the ocean that the equatorial waters flow towards the poles, and it is along the bottom and under portion of the ocean that polar waters flow towards the equator; or, in other words, the warm water keeps the _upper_ portion of the ocean and the cold water the _under_ portion.” With this explanation I to a great extent agree. It is evident that, in reference to the northern hemisphere at least, the most of the water which flows from inter-tropical to polar regions (as, for example, the Gulf-stream) keeps to the surface and upper portion of the ocean; but for reasons which I have already stated, a very large proportion of this water must return in the form of _under_ currents; or, which is the same thing, the return compensating current, whether it consist of the identical water which originally came from the equator or not, must flow towards the equator as an under current. That the cold water which is found at the bottom of the Atlantic and of inter-tropical seas must have come as under currents is perfectly obvious, because water which should come along the surface of the ocean from the polar regions would not be cold when it reached inter-tropical regions.

_The Explanation hypothetical._—Here the general agreement between us in a great measure terminates, for Dr. Carpenter is not satisfied with the explanation generally adopted by the advocates of the _wind theory_, viz., that the cold water found in temperate and inter-tropical areas comes from polar regions as compensating under currents, but advances a _hypothetical_ form of circulation to account for the phenomenon. He assumes that there is a _general set_ or flow of the surface and upper portion of the ocean from the equator to polar regions, and a _general set_ or flow of the bottom and under portion of the ocean from polar regions to the equator. Mr. Ferrel (_Nature_, June 13, 1872) speaks of that “interchanging motion of the water between the equator and the pole _discovered_ by Dr. Carpenter.” In this, however, Mr. Ferrel is mistaken; for Dr. Carpenter not only makes no claim to any discovery of the kind, but distinctly admits that none such has yet been made. Although in some of his papers he speaks of a “_set_ of warm surface-water in the southern oceans toward the Antarctic pole” as being well known to navigators, yet he nowhere affirms, as far as I know, that the existence of such a general oceanic circulation as he advocates has ever been directly determined from observations. This mode of circulation is _simply inferred_ or _assumed_ in order to account for the facts referred to above. “At present,” Dr. Carpenter says, “I claim for it no higher character than that of a good working _hypothesis_ to be used as a guide in further inquiry” (§ 16); and lest there should be any misapprehension on this point, he closes his memoir thus:—“At present, as I have already said, I claim for the doctrine of a general oceanic circulation no higher a character than that of a good working _hypothesis_ consistent with our present knowledge of facts, and therefore entitled to be _provisionally_ adopted for the purpose of stimulating and directing further inquiry.”

I am unable to agree with him, however, on this latter point. It seems to me that there is no necessity for adopting any hypothetical mode of circulation to account for the facts, as they can be quite well accounted for by means of that mode of circulation which does _actually exist_. It has been determined from direct observation that surface-currents flow from equatorial to polar regions, and their paths have been actually mapped out. But if it is established that currents flow from equatorial to polar regions, it is equally so that return currents flow from polar to equatorial regions; for if the one _actually_ exists, the other of necessity _must_ exist. We know also on physical grounds, to which I have already referred, and which fall to be considered more fully in a subsequent chapter, that a very large portion of the water flowing from polar to equatorial regions must be in the form of under currents. If there are cold under currents, therefore, flowing from polar to temperate and equatorial regions, this is all that we really require to account for the cold water which is found to occupy the bed of the ocean in those regions. It does not necessarily follow, because cold water may be found at the bottom of the ocean all along the equator, that there must be a direct flow from the polar regions to every point of the equator. Water brought constantly from the polar regions to various points along the equator by means of under currents will necessarily accumulate, and in course of time spread over the bottom of the inter-tropical seas. It must either do this, or the currents on reaching the equator must bend upwards and flow to the surface in an unbroken mass. Considerable portions of some of those currents may no doubt do so and join surface-currents; but probably the greater portion of the water coming from polar regions extends itself over the floor of the equatorial seas. In a letter in _Nature_, January 11, 1872, I endeavoured to show that the surface-currents of the ocean are not separate and independent of one another, but form one grand system of circulation, and that the impelling cause keeping up this system of circulation is not the _trade-winds_ alone, as is generally supposed, but the _prevailing winds of the entire globe considered also as one grand system_. The evidence for this opinion, however, will be considered more fully in the sequel.

Although the under currents are parts of one general system of oceanic circulation produced by the impulse of the system of prevailing winds, yet their direction and position are nevertheless, to a large extent, determined by different laws. The water at the surface, being moved by the force of the wind, will follow the path of _greatest pressure and traction_,—the effects resulting from the general contour of the land, which to a great extent are common to both sets of currents, not being taken into account; while, on the other hand, the under currents from polar regions (which to a great extent are simply “indraughts” compensating for the water drained from equatorial regions by the Gulf-stream and other surface currents) will follow, as a general rule, the path of _least resistance_.

_The Cause assigned for the Hypothetical Mode of Circulation._—Dr. Carpenter assigns a cause for his mode of circulation; and that cause he finds in the difference of specific gravity between equatorial and polar waters, resulting from the difference of temperature between these two regions. “Two separate questions,” he says, “have to be considered, which have not, perhaps, been kept sufficiently distinct, either by Mr. Croll or by myself;—_first_, whether there is adequate evidence of the existence of a general vertical oceanic circulation; and _second_, whether, supposing its existence to be provisionally admitted, a _vera causa_ can be found for it in the difference of temperature between the oceanic waters of the polar and equatorial areas” (§ 17). It seems to me that the facts adduced by Dr. Carpenter do not necessarily require the assumption of any such mode of circulation as that advanced by him. The phenomena can be satisfactorily accounted for otherwise; and therefore there does not appear to be any necessity for considering whether his hypothesis be sufficient to produce the required effect or not.

_An important Consideration overlooked._—But there is one important consideration which seems to have been overlooked—namely, the fact that the sea is salter in inter-tropical than in polar regions, and that this circumstance, so far as it goes, must tend to neutralize the effect of difference of temperature. It is probable, indeed, that the effect produced by difference of temperature is thus entirely neutralized, and that no difference of density whatever exists between the sea in inter-tropical and polar regions, and consequently that there is no difference of level nor anything to produce such a general motion as Dr. Carpenter supposes. This, I am glad to find, is the opinion of Professor Wyville Thomson.

“I am greatly mistaken,” says that author, “if the low specific gravity of the polar sea, the result of the condensation and precipitation of vapour evaporated from the inter-tropical area, do not fully counterbalance the contraction of the superficial film by arctic cold.... Speaking in the total absence of all reliable data, it is my general impression that if we were to set aside all other agencies, and to trust for an oceanic circulation to those conditions only which are relied upon by Dr. Carpenter, if there were any general circulation at all, which seems very problematical, the odds are rather in favour of a warm under current travelling northwards by virtue of its excess of salt, balanced by a surface return current of fresher though colder arctic water.”[62]

This is what actually takes place on the west and north-west of Spitzbergen. There the warm water of the Gulf-stream flows underneath the cold polar current. And it is the opinion of Dr. Scoresby, Mr. Clements Markham, and Lieut. Maury that this warm water, in virtue of its greater saltness, is denser than the polar water. Mr. Leigh Smith found on the north-west of Spitzbergen the temperature at 500 fathoms to be 52°, and once even 64°, while the water on the surface was only a degree or two above freezing.[63] Mr. Aitken, of Darroch, in a paper lately read before the Royal Scottish Society of Arts, showed experimentally that the polar water in regions where the ice is melting is actually less dense than the warm and more salt tropical waters. Nor will it help the matter in the least to maintain that difference of specific gravity is not the reason why the warm water of the Gulf-stream passes under the polar stream—because if difference of specific gravity be not the cause of the warm water underlying the cold water in polar regions, then difference of specific gravity may likewise not be the cause of the cold water underlying the warm at the equator; and if so, then there is no necessity for the gravitation hypothesis of oceanic circulation.

There is little doubt that the super-heated stratum at the surface of the inter-tropical seas, which stratum, according to Dr. Carpenter, is of no great thickness, is less dense than the polar water: but if we take a column extending from the surface down to the bottom of the ocean, this column at the equator will be found to be as heavy as one of equal length in the polar area. And if this be the case, then there can be no difference of level between the equator and the poles, and no disturbance of static equilibrium nor anything else to produce circulation.

_Under Currents account for all the Facts better than Dr. Carpenter’s Hypothesis._—Assuming, for the present, the system of prevailing winds to be the true cause of oceanic currents, it necessarily follows (as will be shown hereafter) that a large quantity of Atlantic water must be propelled into the Arctic Ocean; and such, as we know, is actually the case. The Arctic Ocean, however, as Professor Wyville Thomson remarks, is a well-nigh closed basin, not permitting of a free outflow into the Pacific Ocean of the water impelled into it.

But it is evident that the water which is thus being constantly carried from the inter-tropical to the arctic regions must somehow or other find its way back to the equator; in other words, there must be a return current equal in magnitude to the direct current. Now the question to be determined is, what path must this return current take? It appears to me that it will take the _path of least resistance_, whether that path may happen to be at the surface or under the surface. But that the path of least resistance will, as a general rule, lie at a very considerable distance below the surface is, I think, evident from the following considerations. At the surface the general direction of the currents is opposite to that of the return current. The surface motion of the water in the Atlantic is from the equator to the pole; but the return current must be from the pole to the equator. Consequently the surface currents will oppose the motion of any return current unless that current lie at a considerable depth below the surface currents. Again, the winds, as a general rule, blow in an opposite direction to the course of the return current, because, according to supposition, the winds blow in the direction of the surface currents. From all these causes the path of least resistance to the return current will, as a general rule, not be at the surface, but at a very considerable depth below it.

A large portion of the water from the polar regions no doubt leaves those regions as surface currents; but a surface current of this kind, on meeting with some resistance to its onward progress along the surface, will dip down and continue its course as an under current. We have an example of this in the case of the polar current, which upon meeting the Gulf-stream on the banks of Newfoundland divides—a portion of it dipping down and pursuing its course underneath that stream into the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea. And that this under current is a real and tangible current, in the proper sense of the term, and not an imperceptible movement of the water, is proved by the fact that large icebergs deeply immersed in it are often carried southward with considerable velocity against the united force of the wind and the Gulf-stream.

Dr. Carpenter refers at considerable length (§ 134) to Mr. Mitchell’s opinion as to the origin of the polar current, which is the same as that advanced by Maury, viz., that the impelling cause is difference of specific gravity. But although Dr. Carpenter quotes Mr. Mitchell’s opinion, he nevertheless does not appear to adopt it: for in §§ 90−93 and various other places he distinctly states that he does not agree with Lieut. Maury’s view that the Gulf-stream and polar current are caused by difference of density. In fact, Dr. Carpenter seems particularly anxious that it should be clearly understood that he dissents from the theory maintained by Maury. But he does not merely deny that the Gulf-stream and polar current can be caused by difference of density; he even goes so far as to affirm that no sensible current whatever can be due to that cause, and adduces the authority of Sir John Herschel in support of that opinion:—“The doctrine of Lieut. Maury,” he says, “was powerfully and convincingly opposed by Sir John Herschel; who showed, beyond all reasonable doubt, first, that the Gulf-stream really has its origin in the propulsive force of the trade-winds, and secondly, that the greatest disturbance of equilibrium which can be supposed to result from the agencies invoked by Lieut. Maury would be utterly inadequate to generate and maintain either the Gulf-stream or any other sensible current” (§ 92). This being Dr. Carpenter’s belief, it is somewhat singular that he should advance the case of the polar current passing under the Gulf-stream as evidence in favour of his theory; for in reality he could hardly have selected a case more hostile to that theory. In short, it is evident that, if a polar current impelled by a force other than that of gravity can pass from the banks of Newfoundland to the Gulf of Mexico (a distance of some thousands of miles) under a current flowing in the opposite direction and, at the same time, so powerful as the Gulf-stream, it could pass much more easily under comparatively still water, or water flowing in the same direction as itself. And if this be so, then all our difficulties disappear, and we satisfactorily explain the presence of cold polar water at the bottom of inter-tropical seas without having recourse to the hypothesis advanced by Dr. Carpenter.

But we have an example of an under current more inexplicable on the gravitation hypothesis than even that of the polar current, viz., the warm under current of Davis Strait.

There is a strong current flowing north from the Atlantic through Davis Strait into the Arctic Ocean underneath a surface current passing southwards in an opposite direction. Large icebergs have been seen to be carried northwards by this under current at the rate of four knots an hour against both the wind and the surface current, ripping and tearing their way with terrific force through surface ice of great thickness.[64] A current so powerful and rapid as this cannot, as Dr. Carpenter admits, be referred to difference of specific gravity. But even supposing that it could, still difference of temperature between the equatorial and polar seas would not account for it; for the current in question flows in the _wrong direction_. Nor will it help the matter the least to adopt Maury’s explanation, viz., that the warm under current from the south, in consequence of its greater saltness, is denser than the cold one from the polar regions. For if the water of the Atlantic, notwithstanding its higher temperature, is in consequence of its greater saltness so much denser than the polar water on the west of Greenland as to produce an under current of four knots an hour in the direction of the pole, then surely the same thing to a certain extent will hold true in reference to the ocean on the east side of Greenland. Thus instead of there being, as Dr. Carpenter supposes, an underflow of polar water south into the Atlantic in virtue of its _greater_ density, there ought, on the contrary, to be a surface flow in consequence of its lesser density.

The true explanation no doubt is, that the warm under current from the south and the cold upper current from the north are both parts of one grand system of circulation produced by the winds, difference of specific gravity having no share whatever either in impelling the currents, or in determining which shall be the upper and which the lower.

The wind in Baffin’s Bay and Davis Strait blows nearly always in one direction, viz. from the north. The tendency of this is to produce a surface or upper current from the north down into the Atlantic, and to prevent or retard any surface current from the south. The warm current from the Atlantic, taking the path of least resistance, dips under the polar current and pursues its course as an under current.

Mr. Clements Markham, in his “Threshold of the Unknown Region,” is inclined to attribute the motion of the icebergs to tidal action or to counter under currents. That the motion of the icebergs cannot reasonably be attributed to the tides is, I think, evident from the descriptions given both by Midshipman Griffin and by Captain Duncan, who distinctly saw the icebergs moving at the rate of about four knots an hour against a surface current flowing southwards. And Captain Duncan states that the bergs continued their course northwards for several days, till they ultimately disappeared. The probability is that this northward current is composed partly of Gulf-stream water and partly of that portion of polar water which is supposed to flow round Cape Farewell from the east coast of Greenland. This stream, composed of both warm and cold water, on reaching to about latitude 65°N., where it encounters the strong northerly winds, dips down under the polar current and continues its northward course as an under current.

We have on the west of Spitzbergen, as has already been noticed, a similar example of a warm current from the south passing under a polar current. A portion of the Gulf-stream which passes round the west coast of Spitzbergen flows under an arctic current coming down from the north; and it does so no doubt because it is here in the region of prevailing northerly winds, which favour the polar current but oppose the Gulf-stream. Again, we have a cold and rapid current sweeping round the east and south of Spitzbergen, a current of which Mr. Lamont asserts that he is positive he has seen it running at the rate of seven or eight miles an hour. This current, on meeting the Gulf-stream about the northern entrance to the German Ocean, dips down under that stream and pursues its course southwards as an under current.

Several other cases of under currents might be adduced which cannot be explained on the gravitation theory, and which must be referred to a system of oceanic circulation produced by the impulse of the wind; but these will suffice to show that the assumption that the winds can produce only a mere surface-drift is directly opposed to facts. And it will not do to affirm that a current which forms part of a general system of circulation produced by the impulse of the winds cannot possibly be an under current; for in the case referred to we have proof that the thing is not only possible but actually exists. This point, however, will be better understood after we have considered the evidence in favour of a general system of oceanic currents.

Much of the difficulty experienced in comprehending how under currents can be produced by the wind, or how an impulse imparted to the surface of the ocean can ever be transmitted to the bottom, appears to me to result, to a considerable extent at least, from a slight deception of the imagination. The thing which impresses us most forcibly in regard to the ocean is its profound depth. A mean depth of, say, three miles produces a striking impression; but if we could represent to the mind the vast area of the ocean as correctly as we can its depth, _shallowness_ rather than _depth_ would be the impression produced. If in crossing a meadow we found a sheet of water one hundred yards in diameter and only an inch in depth, we should not call that a _deep_, but a very _shallow_ pool. The probability is that we should speak of it as simply a piece of ground covered with a thin layer of water. Yet such a thin layer of water would be a correct representation in miniature of the ocean; for the ocean in relation to its superficial area is as shallow as the pool of our illustration. In reference to such a pool or thin film of water, we have no difficulty in conceiving how a disturbance on its surface would be transmitted to its bottom. In fact our difficulty is in conceiving how any disturbance extending over its entire surface should not extend to the bottom. Now if we could form as accurate a sensuous impression of the vast area of the ocean as we do of such a pool, all our difficulty in understanding how the impulses of the wind acting on the vast area of the ocean should communicate motion down to its bottom would disappear. It is certainly true that sudden commotions caused by storms do not generally extend to great depths. Neither will winds of short continuance produce a current extending far below the surface. But prevailing winds which can produce such immense surface-flow as that of the great equatorial currents of the globe and the Gulf-stream, which follow definite directions, must communicate their motion to great depths, unless water be frictionless, a thing which it is not. Suppose the upper layer of the ocean to be forced on by the direct action of the winds with a constant velocity of, say, four miles an hour, the layer immediately below will be dragged along with a constant velocity somewhat less than four miles an hour. The layer immediately below this second layer will in turn be also dragged along with a constant velocity somewhat less than the one above it. The same will take place in regard to each succeeding layer, the constant velocity of each layer being somewhat less than the one immediately above it, and greater than the one below it. The question to be determined is, at what depth will all motion cease? I presume that at present we have not sufficient data for properly determining this point. The depth will depend, other things being equal, upon the amount of molecular resistance offered by the water to motion—in other words, on the amount of the shearing-force of the one layer over the other. The fact, however, that motion imparted to the surface will extend to great depths can be easily shown by direct experiment. If a constant motion be imparted to the surface of water, say, in a vessel, motion will ultimately be communicated to the bottom, no matter how wide or how deep the vessel may be. The same effect will take place whether the vessel be 5 feet deep or 500 feet deep.

_The known Condition of the Ocean inconsistent with Dr. Carpenter’s Hypothesis._—Dr. Carpenter says that he looks forward with great satisfaction to the results of the inquiries which are being prosecuted by the Circumnavigation Expedition, in the hope that the facts brought to light may establish his theory of a general oceanic circulation; and he specifies certain of these facts which, if found to be correct, will establish his theory. It seems to me, however, that the facts to which he refers are just as explicable on the theory of under currents as on the theory of a general oceanic circulation. He begins by saying, “If the views I have propounded be correct, it may be expected that near the border of the great antarctic ice-barrier a temperature below 30° will be met with (as it has been by Parry, Martens, and Weyprecht near Spitzbergen) at no great depth beneath the surface, and that instead of rising at still greater depths, the thermometer will fall to near the freezing-point of salt water” (§ 39).

Dr. Carpenter can hardly claim this as evidence in favour of his theory; for near the borders of the ice-barrier the water, as a matter of course, could not be expected to have a much higher temperature than the ice itself. And if the observations be made during summer months, the temperature of the water at the surface will no doubt be found to be higher than that of the bottom; but if they be carried on during winter, the surface-temperature will doubtless be found to be as low as the bottom-temperature. These are results which do not depend upon any particular theory of oceanic circulation.

“The bottom temperature of the North Pacific,” he continues, “will afford a crucial test of the truth of the doctrine. For since the sole communication of this vast oceanic area with the arctic basin is a strait so shallow as only to permit an inflow of warm surface water, its deep cold stratum must be entirely derived from the antarctic area; and if its bottom temperature is not actually higher than that of the South Pacific, the glacial stratum ought to be found at a greater depth north of the equator than south of it” (§ 39).

This may probably show that the water came from the antarctic regions, but cannot possibly prove that it came in the manner which he supposes.

“In the North Atlantic, again, the comparative limitation of communication with the arctic area may be expected to prevent its bottom temperature from being reduced as low as that of the Southern Atlantic” (§ 39). Supposing the bottom temperature of the South Atlantic should be found to be lower than the bottom temperature of the North Atlantic, this fact will be just as consistent with the theory of under currents as with his theory of a general movement of the ocean.

I am also wholly unable to comprehend how he should imagine, because the bottom temperature of the South Atlantic happens to be lower, and the polar water to lie nearer to the surface in this ocean than in the North Atlantic, that therefore this proves the truth of his theory. This condition of matters is just as consistent, and even more so, as will be shown in Chapter XIII., with my theory as with his. When we consider the immense quantity of warm surface water which, as has been shown (Chapter V.), is being constantly transferred from the South into the North Atlantic, we readily understand how the polar water comes nearer to the surface in the former ocean than in the latter. Every pound of water, of course, passing from the southern to the northern hemisphere must be compensated by an equal amount passing from the northern to the southern hemisphere. But nevertheless the warm water drained off the South Atlantic is not replaced directly by water from the north, but by that cold antarctic current, the existence of which is, unfortunately, too well known to navigators from the immense masses of icebergs which it brings along with it. In fact, the whole of the phenomena are just as easily explained upon the principle of under currents as upon Dr. Carpenter’s theory. But we shall have to return to this point in Chapter XIII., when we come to discuss a class of facts which appear to be wholly irreconcilable with the gravitation theory.

Indeed I fear that even although Dr. Carpenter’s expectations should eventually be realised in the results of the Circumnavigation Expedition, yet the advocates of the wind theory will still remain unconverted. In fact the Director of this Expedition has already, on the wind theory, offered an explanation of nearly all the phenomena on which Dr. Carpenter relies;[65] and the same has also been done by Dr. Petermann,[66] who, as is well known, is equally opposed to Dr. Carpenter’s theory. Dr. Carpenter directs attention to the necessity of examining the broad and deep channel separating Iceland from Greenland. The observations which have already been made, however, show that nearly the entire channel is occupied, on the surface at least, by water flowing southward from the polar area—a direction the opposite of what it ought to be according to the gravitation theory. In fact the surface of one half of the entire area of the ocean, extending from Greenland to the North Cape, is moving in a direction the opposite of that which it ought to take according to the theory under review. The western half of this area is occupied by water which at the surface is flowing southwards; while the eastern half, which has hitherto been regarded by almost everybody but Dr. Carpenter himself and Mr. Findlay as an extension of the Gulf-stream, is moving polewards. The motion of the western half must be attributed to the winds and not to gravity; for it is moving in the wrong direction to be accounted for by the latter cause; but had it been moving in the opposite direction, no doubt its motion would have been referred to gravitation. To this cause the motion of the eastern half, which is in the proper direction, is attributed;[67] but why not assign this motion also to the impulse of the winds, more especially since the direction of the prevailing winds blowing over that area coincides with that of the water? If the wind can produce the motion of the water in the western half, why may not it do the same in the eastern half?

If there be such a difference of density between equatorial and polar waters as to produce a general flow of the upper portion of the ocean poleward, how does it happen that one half of the water in the above area is moving in opposition to gravity? How is it that in a wide open sea gravitation should act so powerfully in the one half of it and with so little effect in the other half? There is probably little doubt that the ice-cold water of the western half extends from the surface down to the bottom. And it is also probable that the bottom water is moving southwards in the same direction as the surface water. The bottom water in such a case would be moving in harmony with the gravitation theory; but would Dr. Carpenter on this account attribute its motion to gravity? Would he attribute the motion of the lower half to gravity and the upper half to the wind? He could not in consistency with his theory attribute the motion of the upper half to gravity: for although the ice-cold water extended to the surface, this could not explain how gravity should move it southward instead of polewards, as according to theory it ought to move. He might affirm, if he chose, that the surface water moves southwards because it is dragged forward by the bottom water; but if this view be held, he is not entitled to affirm, as he does, that the winds can only produce a mere surface drift. If the viscosity and molecular resistance of water be such that, when the lower strata of the ocean are impelled forward by gravity or by any other cause, the superincumbent strata extending to the surface are perforce dragged after them, then, for the same reason, when the upper strata are impelled forward by the wind or any other cause, the underlying strata must also be dragged along after them.

If the condition of the ocean between Greenland and the north-western shore of Europe is irreconcilable with the gravitation theory, we find the case even worse for that theory when we direct our attention to the condition of the ocean on the southern hemisphere; for according to the researches of Captain Duperrey and others on the currents of the Southern Ocean, a very large portion of the area of that ocean is occupied by water moving on the surface more in a northward than a poleward direction. Referring to the deep trough between the Shetland and the Faroe Islands, called by him the “Lightning Channel,” Dr. Carpenter says, “If my view be correct, a current-drag suspended in the _upper_ stratum ought to have a perceptible movement in the N.E. direction; whilst another, suspended in the _lower_ stratum, should move S.W.” (§ 40).

Any one believing in the north-eastern extension of the Gulf-stream and in the Spitsbergen polar under current, to which I have already referred, would not feel surprised to learn that the surface strata have a perceptible north-eastward motion, and the bottom strata a perceptible south-westward motion. North-east and east of Iceland there is a general flow of cold polar water in a south-east direction towards the left edge of the Gulf-stream. This water, as Professor Mohn concludes, “descends beneath the Gulf-stream and partially finds an outlet in the lower half of the Faroe-Shetland channel.”[68]

_An Objection Considered._—In Nature, vol. ix. p. 423, Dr. Carpenter has advanced the following objection to the foregoing theory of under-currents:—“According to Mr. Croll’s doctrine, the whole of that vast mass of water in the North Atlantic, averaging, say, 1,500 fathoms in thickness and 3,600 miles in breadth, the temperature of which (from 40° downwards), as ascertained by the _Challenger_ soundings, clearly shows it to be mainly derived from a polar source, is nothing else than _the reflux of the Gulf-stream_. Now, even if we suppose that the whole of this stream, as it passes Sandy Hook, were to go on into the closed arctic basin, it would only force out an equivalent body of water. And as, on comparing the sectional areas of the two, I find that of the Gulf-stream to be about 1/900th that of the North Atlantic underflow; and as it is admitted that a large part of the Gulf-stream returns into the Mid-Atlantic circulation, only a branch of it going on to the north-east, the extreme improbability (may I not say impossibility?) that so vast a mass of water can be put in motion by what is by comparison a mere rivulet (the north-east motion of which, as a distinct current, has not been traced eastward of 30° W. long.) seems still more obvious.”

In this objection three things are assumed: (1) that the mass of cold water 1,500 fathoms deep and 3,600 miles in breadth is in a state of motion towards the equator; (2) that it cannot be the reflux of the Gulf-stream, because its sectional area is 900 times as great as that of the Gulf-stream; (3) that the immense mass of water is, according to my views, set in motion by the Gulf-stream.

As this objection has an important bearing on the question under consideration, I shall consider these three assumptions separately and in their order: (1) That this immense mass of cold water came originally from the polar regions I, of course, admit, but that the whole is in a state of motion I certainly do not admit. There is no warrant whatever for any such assumption. According to Dr. Carpenter himself, the heating-power of the sun does not extend to any great depth below the surface; consequently there is nothing whatever to heat this mass but the heat coming through the earth’s crust. But the amount of heat derived from this source is so trifling, that an under current from the arctic regions far less in volume than that of the Gulf-stream would be quite sufficient to keep the mass at an ice-cold temperature. Taking the area of the North Atlantic between the equator and the Tropic of Cancer, including also the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, to be 7,700,000 square miles, and the rate at which internal heat passes through the earth’s surface to be that assigned by Sir William Thomson, we find that the total quantity of heat derived from the earth’s crust by the above area is equal to about 88 × 10^{15} foot-pounds per day. But this amount is equal to only 1/894th that conveyed by the Gulf-stream, on the supposition that each pound of water carries 19,300 foot-pounds of heat. Consequently an under current from the polar regions of not more than 1/35th the volume of the Gulf-stream would suffice to keep the entire mass of water of that area within 1° of what it would be were there no heat derived from the crust of the earth; that is to say, were the water conveyed by the under current at 32°, internal heat would not maintain the mass of the ocean in the above area at more than 33°. The entire area of the North Atlantic from the equator to the arctic circle is somewhere about 16,000,000 square miles. An under current of less than 1/17th that of the Gulf-stream coming from the arctic regions would therefore suffice to keep the entire North Atlantic basin filled with ice-cold water. In short, whatever theory we adopt regarding oceanic circulation, it follows equally as a necessary consequence that the entire mass of the ocean below the stratum heated by the sun’s rays must consist of cold water. For if cold water be continually coming from the polar regions either in the form of under currents, or in the form of a general underflow as Dr. Carpenter supposes, the entire under portion of the ocean must ultimately become occupied by cold water; for there is no source from which this influx of water can derive heat, save from the earth’s crust. But the amount thus derived is so trifling as to produce no sensible effect. For example, a polar under current one half the size of the Gulf-stream would be sufficient to keep the entire water of the globe (below the stratum heated by the sun’s rays) at an ice-cold temperature. Internal heat would not be sufficient under such circumstances to maintain the mass 1° Fahr. above the temperature it possessed when it left the polar regions.

It follows therefore that the presence of the immense mass of ice-cold water in the great depths of the ocean is completely accounted for by under currents, and there is no necessity for supposing it to be all in a state of motion towards the equator. In fact, this very state of things, which the general oceanic circulation hypothesis was devised to explain, results as a necessary consequence of polar under currents. Unless these were entirely stopped it is physically impossible that the ocean could be in any other condition.

But suppose that this immense mass of cold water occupying the great depths of the ocean were, as Dr. Carpenter assumes it to be, in a state of constant motion towards the equator, and that its sectional area were 900 times that of the Gulf-stream, it would not therefore follow that the quantity of water passing through this large sectional area must be greater than that flowing through a sectional area of the Gulf-stream; for the quantity of water flowing through this large sectional area depends entirely on the rate of motion.

I am wholly unable to understand how it could be supposed that this underflow, according to my view, is set in motion by the Gulf-stream, seeing that I have shown that the return under current is as much due to the impulse of the wind as the Gulf-stream itself.

Dr. Carpenter lays considerable stress on the important fact established by the _Challenger_ expedition, that the great depths of the sea in equatorial regions are occupied by ice-cold water, while the portion heated by the sun’s rays is simply a thin stratum at the surface. It seems to me that it would be difficult to find a fact more hostile to his theory than this. Were it not for this upper stratum of heated water there would be no difference between the equatorial and polar columns, and consequently nothing to produce motion. But the thinner this stratum is the less is the difference, and the less there is to produce motion.