CHAPTER III

ON THE CONDITIONS OF A LASTING PEACE 77

The patriotic spirit of modern peoples is the abiding source of contention among nations, 77.

--Hence any calculus of the Chances of Peace will be a reckoning of forces which may be counted on to keep a patriotic nation in an unstable equilibrium of peace, 78.

--The question of peace and war at large is a question of peace and war among the Powers, which are of two contrasted kinds: those which may safely be counted on spontaneously to take the offensive and those which will fight on provocation, 79.

--War not a question of equity but of opportunity, 81.

--The Imperial designs of Germany and Japan as the prospective cause of war, 82.

--Peace can be maintained in two ways: submission to their dominion, or elimination of these two Powers; No middle course open, 84.

--Frame of mind of states; men and popular sentiment in a Dynastic State, 84.

--Information, persuasion and reflection will not subdue national animosities and jealousies; Peoples of Europe are racially homogeneous along lines of climatic latitude, 88.

--But loyalty is a matter of habituation, 89.

--Derivation and current state of German nationalism, 94.

--Contrasted with the animus of the citizens of a commonwealth, 103;--A neutral peace-compact may be practicable in the absence of Germany and Japan, but it has no chance in their presence, 106.

--The national life of Germany: the Intellectuals, 108.

--Summary of chapter, 116.